Showing posts with label Stock Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Stock Spotlight, Kimberly Clark Corp


Kimberly-Clark is a company that has been on my radar for awhile now as alluded to in my last months stock analysis post.  At the time I decided not to pull the trigger on KMB, instead opting to buy shares of Altria group.  Well, as a new month rolls around and the old war chest is filling up with new spoils I am once again considering this purchase.  I have been holding off on KMB recently hoping for a better entry price but as I sit on the sidelines the stock continues to chug right along leaving me out in the cold.  Lets take a look at KMB and see if it is worth these premium prices.

Kimberly Clark was founded in 1872 and was initially in the paper mills industry.  The company quickly evolved inventing cotton substitutes that eventually led to the first disposable feminine hygiene products.  The company is now famous for its brands which include Huggies diapers, Kotex feminine hygiene products, Kleenex brand tissues, and most recently its expansion into the health care industry.  KMB currently sits on a market cap of $41.73 billion which seats it in the top 20 non-cyclical consumer goods and services industry category.

Quick Stats:


  • 52 week range $91.44-$111.68
  • Current Price $109.99
  • P/E 19.88 
  • Dividend $0.84/3.05%
  • EPS 5.53
  • Inst Ownership 71%


KMB is currently trading near its 52 week and all time high.  It trades with a P/E ratio of 19.88 which is above the industry median of 18.11.  A dividend raise was announced today for KMB marking its 42nd straight year of an increase.  This is an increase of only 3.7% compared to last years raise of 9.5% which could indicate low expected sales growth.  KMB will pay out its dividend on April 2, 2014 with an ex dividend date of March 7, 2014.

While a yield rate of 3.05% does not seem too impressive by itself KMB has experienced tremendous growth rates at the same time.  Over the last five years KMB (growth of 129.18%) has managed to keep close to the S&P 500 (growth of 151%) in overall growth rates while still offering its dividend.  Compared to a company like AT&T which offers a juicy 5.72% dividend yield which has a total five year growth of 51.22% it becomes clear that dividend yield is not the only factor when selecting a stock.  KMB has also outpaced some of its major competition which can be seen below.


Figure 1: KMB's 5 Year Growth vs S&P 500 & Competition

   KMB is currently seeing stagnated growth in the United States but in emerging markets it is experiencing significant growth (6%) in its KC Professional line, (5%) in its personal care line, and declining growth overall in its health care business which is to be spun off (tax free) later in the year.  By removing this burden KMB should be able to focus on its core industry and growing its most profitable segments. 

I believe that KMB is making a good decision by spinning off its healthcare division and getting back to its basics.  I am personally long term bullish on KMB and believe that it will continue to grow its revenue from the emerging markets sector.  I would like to add one or two major consumer goods stocks to my portfolio as to me they are a hedge against any major recession.  While I am not one to predict calamities, one thing that I do know is that even when the markets are down diapers and feminine hygiene products are still required.    

Current watch list  (looking to purchase one in the next 2 weeks): CL, CLX, PG, KMB, JNJ 

What company is your current favorite in the non-cyclical consumer goods and services industry?






Thursday, February 13, 2014

Stock Analysis February Edition

The tax man stopped by this month and left me with a little present.  What better to do with a gift then use it to create more smaller gifts every quarter for the rest of my life?  So with this new found capital I have decided to write up my likely stock buy for tomorrow.



Altria Group (MO) is the domestic (US) version of Phillip Morris (PM) (the international version), which provides consumers with tobacco and tobacco related products.  Some quick Altria facts:



  • Price to earnings ratio of 15.60 vs the industry average of 19.5
  • EPS of 2.26
  • Current Yield 5.44%
  • Increased dividend 47 times in the last 44 years
  • Diversified into the e-cig, smokeless tobacco and wine industries.  
I also speculate that Altria will be a strong play if the US ban on Menthol cigarettes occurs.  This will cause many traditional menthol smokers switch over to new tobacco products.  This move could be devastating to LO where menthol currently accounts for almost 90% of its profits.


But what about your morals!?


My personal stance is that we all own 100% of the shares which make up our body.  What we decide to do with those shares is our own choice.  I personally have many smokers in my immediate family and have lost members to relevant cancer related illnesses.  This does not change the fact that they are adults who don't need anyone to tell them what they can and cannot do.     

Other stocks I am currently considering for my upcoming buy: KMB, TGT, T

What are your favorite dividend stock picks right now?